Here is our latest video on the Mississauga real estate market. We take a look back at 2016, and a look ahead to 2017. All signs point to continued strength in the market, as the three ‘pillars’ which are driving it – low interest rates, a decent local economy, and ongoing immigration into the Greater Toronto Area, are maintained. Will the ‘wild cards’ of the election of Donald Trump in the U.S.A., and the increased tightening of mortgage approval requirements by regulators in Canada, have an effect? Watch the video to find out.
January numbers are already in the books, and local newspapers are publishing reports of incredible bidding wars on average houses. It looks like we are in for another interesting year.
and here is a transcript of the video:
Hello everybody, it’s Randy Selzer here. Once again, thank you for joining me here on my YouTube channel, and how are you? Hope all is well, welcome back. Today, we’re going to look back a little bit at 2016 and see what happened in the market, and we’re also going to look forward to what to expect in 2017 in the real estate market here in Mississauga and also in the Greater Toronto Area. I think most of you are well aware that the, 2016 was incredible. The numbers have come out from the real estate board, and they’re showing about a 23% increase in average prices year over year, which is just an incredible amount to look at, and that’s a historical amount.
So that’s all great news if you’re a homeowner. If you’re a home buyer, it was very difficult throughout the year, trying to chase these listings when they came out, so many bidding wars, and pretty well every house had multiple offers on it, and condos, too, really picked up, especially in the last half of the year; so, as we look forward to 2017, I see a couple of competing things. I think the fundamentals are still there, which is what I like to talk about, the three pillars which are driving the market, and that is low interest rates, a decent economy in general, as well as immigration into the Greater Toronto Area, so those three things are still in place, and that’s all good news for real estate.
There are a couple of things, the kind of wildcards that are out there. One of them was the election of Donald Trump in the United States, and whether or not he messes around with NAFTA and some of the agreements we have with them could affect Canada, and certainly, the Auto Pact, if that gets canceled, that could have a huge effect on Southern Ontario, so we’re not sure where that’s going to go. We’ll have to just watch very carefully to see as it unfolds. The other thing to keep an eye on is that the Canadian Government has done a number of steps to try to slow the market down, it’s a little bit alarmed, I think, that the prices are so high; so as we talked about in another video, they recently required people to, with high-ratio mortgages, to get approved at a higher rate than what they’re actually getting, sort of as a buffer. In case the rates do increase, they’ll still be okay, and …
Also, just very recently, the CMHC fees were increased, and those are the insurance fees that a high-ratio buyer has to pay when getting a mortgage loan, so those two things have combined to make it considerably tougher, especially for first-time buyers, to get into the market. I think what we’re going to see is continued strength in the market for the first half of the year, and I think as these sort of legislative changes take effect, or they’ve taken effect, but as they kind of sift through the market, you may see some decrease in demand perhaps in the second half of the year, but I don’t have a crystal ball. These are just best guesses that I can come up with for where the market is headed.
For investors, the news, also, has been really good. The rental market has been extremely strong, rents are extremely high, and basically, everything is getting snapped up the minute it comes out; so for a rental, if you’re looking at making an investment and renting it out, specifically condos in Mississauga or wherever, that is, we predict that that’s going to continue, because a lot of people are simply priced out of the market to purchase, so they’re going to continue to rent, and that’s going to provide a nice pool of renters for investors.
Anyway, stick with me, we’re going to continue to do videos throughout the year. Hopefully, we can keep abreast of any of the changes that take place, and I wish you all well. Once again, if you have any comments, please feel free, on YouTube or any of the social media, to make comments, and I hope you get a kick out of these videos as much as I get a kick out of making them. Anyways, have a great day, and we’ll talk to you again soon. Bye.
The Canadian government made changes to the approval process effective October 17th, 2016, for buyers who have less than a 20% down payment. These buyers are now required to qualify under higher interest rates than previously. We have created a short video to explain the new mortgage rules as they pertain to CMHC, and other loan insurers in Canada. Here is the video:
It remains to be seen as to what effect this will have on our booming Canadian real estate market, but for high-ratio buyers, they will now qualify for about 20% less than they did prior to October 17.
from today’s press release…..
High-rise condo market shifts to 905
GREATER TORONTO, Aug. 23 /CNW/ – The high-rise condo market in the Greater Toronto Area continues to rise high while the low-rise suburban (905) housing market remains constrained by the acute lack of product available for sale, the Building Industry & Land Development Association revealed today.
While high-rise sales in July slipped a modest 10 per cent from July 2009, sales in the January-July period were up 104 per cent with the 11,327 units sold representing the second highest total (behind only 2007 at an astounding 13,365 units) in the last 11 years.
In what may be the first signal of an emerging trend, nearly half (46 per cent) of high-rise unit sales in July were recorded in the 905 Regions of the GTA. “Toronto has consistently commanded an 80 per cent share of all high-rise sales while 80 per cent of low-rise sales have been in the suburbs. However, that balance is expected to shift as municipalities start to conform with the Greater Golden Horseshoe Growth Plan,” said BILD President and CEO Stephen Dupuis.
With continued strong sales, the high-rise price index rose exactly 10 per cent year over year, and currently sits at $430,782 compared with $391,673 last July.
Meanwhile, on the low-rise side of the equation, sales dropped 65 per cent from last July although they still remain up 8 per cent over 2009 on a January-July basis. As noted, the inventory of low-rise homes available for sale in the GTA remains near all-time lows.
“The shortage of supply of new, low-rise housing product is reflected in the fact that nearly two-thirds (64 per cent) of all new home sales in July were high-rise condos compared with the new norm of around 50 per cent,” Dupuis said, adding that the low-rise price index jumped 9.2 per cent year/year, rising from $447,950 to $489,088.
July ’10 Low Rise High Rise Total
% % %
Region 2009 2010 Change 2009 2010 Change 2009 2010 Change
Durham 238 199 -16.4% 2 1 -50.0% 240 200 -16.7%
Halton 321 47 -85.4% 35 21 -40.0% 356 68 -80.9%
Peel 453 140 -69.1% 85 328 285.9% 538 468 -13.0%
Toronto 102 40 -60.8% 1,091 658 -39.7% 1,193 698 -41.5%
York 810 252 -68.9% 145 214 47.6% 955 466 -51.2%
GTA 1,924 678 -64.8% 1,358 1,222 -10.0% 3,282 1,900 -42.1%
July 9,372 10,157 8.4% 5,543 11,327 104.3% 14,915 21,484 44.0%
Source: RealNet Canada Inc.